833 enrollment growth slows, but still growing
District 833's schools have the space to house its students for the next 10 years, according to an enrollment study.
Growth has slowed, but it still increased by 1.1 percent a year over the past six years, said Mike Vogel, assistant to the superintendent for operations at the June 17 school board meeting.
The study, done by Hazel Reinhardt Consulting Services, reflects that the district is highly dependent on new housing starts to sustain enrollment growth.
There is a west to east pattern of housing aging, and those moving to new housing are the most likely, among people moving into the district, to have school-age children, according to the study by Reinhardt, who does enrollment analysis for 200 other districts, Vogel said.
New housing starts are not projected to increase until 2014, according to the study.
The study shows middle school populations staying stable. The number of high school students continues to rise. East Ridge enrollment could rise faster than at the other two high schools, he said.
Schools on the west side of the district, with the exception of Cottage Grove Elementary, located in an area where new homes are being built, have declining enrollments. Enrollment is declining at Oltman Middle School, but it's stable or increasing at Woodbury, Cottage Grove and Lake middle schools, Vogel said.
Schools with declining enrollment could be used for alternative programs.
The district retains 82.5 percent of its students throughout their schooling, with some leaving for private schools, or schools outside of the district.
Board member Jim Gelbmann said he questions why parents are not choosing to send kids to public school.
In January, Superintendent Mark Porter invited parents of students not enrolled in district schools to a meeting.
Parents make education choices and stay with them, he told board members.
Porter suggested the district look at increasing options for pre-kindergarten programs to draw parents in.
"We haven't paid attention to non-publics because of past space issues," Porter said. "We're not keeping up."
He said the district uses data from the study to predict enrollment. Financial planning, however, is done on the actual number of students in the district.
Of students who live in District 833:
- 82.5 percent attend district schools;
- 10.6 percent attend private schools;
- 3.6 percent are enrolled out of the district;
- 2 percent attend charter schools; and
- 1.2 percent are home-schooled.
Source: Hazel Reinhardt Consulting Services
Editor's note: This is a corrected version of this story. A previous version contained incorrect information.